Pre-tourney Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#176
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#161
Pace70.7#95
Improvement+0.2#157

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#206
Improvement+3.6#30

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#154
Improvement-3.4#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 114   @ Duquesne L 66-84 23%     0 - 1 -10.9 -10.9 +1.7
  Nov 16, 2011 164   @ North Dakota St. L 61-65 34%     0 - 2 -0.4 -12.9 +12.5
  Nov 19, 2011 75   Wyoming W 52-44 35%     1 - 2 +11.3 -11.2 +23.2
  Nov 21, 2011 132   @ Indiana St. L 56-57 27%     1 - 3 +4.8 -9.2 +14.0
  Nov 25, 2011 31   @ Virginia L 42-68 9%     1 - 4 -11.7 -15.7 +1.2
  Dec 01, 2011 280   Illinois-Chicago W 71-68 82%     2 - 4 1 - 0 -7.3 -1.1 -5.9
  Dec 03, 2011 275   Loyola Chicago W 57-47 81%     3 - 4 2 - 0 +0.0 -11.9 +13.3
  Dec 07, 2011 12   @ Wisconsin L 42-70 5%     3 - 5 -9.9 -15.1 +1.6
  Dec 10, 2011 18   @ Marquette L 61-79 6%     3 - 6 -1.0 -8.0 +8.3
  Dec 22, 2011 150   Idaho W 63-61 56%     4 - 6 -0.1 -8.2 +8.3
  Dec 29, 2011 129   @ Butler L 49-53 26%     4 - 7 2 - 1 +2.0 -14.2 +15.9
  Dec 31, 2011 144   @ Valparaiso L 87-90 29%     4 - 8 2 - 2 +2.0 +15.3 -13.3
  Jan 07, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 63-64 31%     4 - 9 2 - 3 +3.5 -8.4 +12.0
  Jan 12, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy L 73-80 48%     4 - 10 2 - 4 -7.0 -3.2 -3.7
  Jan 14, 2012 214   Wright St. W 57-56 71%     5 - 10 3 - 4 -5.2 -13.1 +7.9
  Jan 20, 2012 88   @ Cleveland St. L 68-78 18%     5 - 11 3 - 5 -1.1 +1.3 -2.4
  Jan 22, 2012 169   @ Youngstown St. L 47-77 35%     5 - 12 3 - 6 -26.8 -23.4 -5.3
  Jan 26, 2012 144   Valparaiso W 75-60 55%     6 - 12 4 - 6 +13.2 +7.6 +7.0
  Jan 28, 2012 129   Butler W 80-68 51%     7 - 12 5 - 6 +11.2 +10.3 +0.8
  Feb 04, 2012 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-81 57%     7 - 13 5 - 7 -8.3 +4.5 -12.8
  Feb 10, 2012 214   @ Wright St. W 53-48 45%     8 - 13 6 - 7 +5.6 -7.2 +13.6
  Feb 12, 2012 119   @ Detroit Mercy L 74-77 24%     8 - 14 6 - 8 +3.8 +4.8 -1.1
  Feb 14, 2012 169   Youngstown St. W 71-65 61%     9 - 14 7 - 8 +2.4 -3.1 +5.8
  Feb 18, 2012 250   Eastern Michigan W 54-49 78%     10 - 14 -3.6 -12.1 +9.0
  Feb 21, 2012 88   Cleveland St. W 71-67 40%     11 - 14 8 - 8 +6.1 +2.6 +3.6
  Feb 23, 2012 275   @ Loyola Chicago W 73-70 OT 60%     12 - 14 9 - 8 -0.2 +1.9 -2.0
  Feb 25, 2012 280   @ Illinois-Chicago W 71-63 61%     13 - 14 10 - 8 +4.5 -3.0 +7.6
  Feb 28, 2012 169   @ Youngstown St. L 60-77 35%     13 - 15 -13.8 -8.7 -6.4
Projected Record 13.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%